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Reading Credit Momentum as "Buying Time", Not Growth

Published on July 13, 2026
Reading Credit Momentum as "Buying Time", Not Growth

In June, TL loan volume reached 17 trillion TL, gaining a monthly momentum of 2.9%. The market majority interprets the funding costs hovering around 40% and the expectation of a steady 37% policy rate on July 23 as "the credit taps are opening, bringing a clear opportunity for top-line growth."

We look at this picture through the lens of growth engineering. Access to cheap credit is not growth; it is merely buying time for growth. Unless margins and operational efficiency improve, credit-financed revenue growth simply inflates the debt burden and masks true profitability. The real issue is this: When a company with an annual revenue of 100M TL directs a 10M TL loan (at a 40% cost) purely into revenue inflation rather than operational systems (automation, CRM, smart inventory), it burns 4M TL in pure net profit by year-end. While vanity metrics like ROAS rise, the mounting debt drags down your financial health score on the RGI (Revenue Growth Index).

Are you spending this newly accessed capital on a temporary revenue illusion, or on the permanent system engineering that will scale your company profitably?

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